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The Tariff Time Bomb: What the Freeze Really Signals for Supply Chains

Trump’s tariff freeze masks a deeper trap—now Nvidia & AMD will give the U.S. 15% of China AI chip sales for export access, showing how trade policy is reshaping tech and supply chains.

The US government is now in business with Nvidia under the new deal hashed out by Jensen Huang and President Donald Trump, with 15% of chip sales to China going direct to the Treasury.

Good morning — you’re reading The Closer, your 10-minute guide to what's driving markets and deals.

Below you'll see the week-ahead calendar and top reads, in addition to a deeper look at how Trump’s “freeze” on tech tariffs to woo Beijing is a reset that could redraw supply chains, test alliances, and lock the U.S. into a self-feeding cycle of economic and political dependency. From Europe’s reluctant concessions to India’s tariff shock and Nvidia’s high-stakes lobbying, the move shows how a short-term bluff can morph into a long-term trap.

Plus: the “walk at ~1%” platform tactic—and why credibility is your strongest currency.

— Bradley

Monday Smart-Start

11 August 2025

Numbers and talking points to look like the prepared one at 9 a.m.

GLOBAL INDICES (Fri close)

S&P 500
6,389.45 +2.4% w/w
FTSE 100
9,095.73 +0.3% w/w
Nikkei 225
41,820.48 +2.5% w/w

COMMODITIES • RATES • FX (Fri close)

Brent crude
$66.59/bbl −4.8% w/w
Gold (spot)
$3,394/oz +1.0% w/w
U.S. 10-yr Treasury
4.27% +4 bp w/w
€ / $
1.1655 +0.46% w/w
Bitcoin
$117,463 +1.5% w/w

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